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@aleabitoreddit

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Status: active

Composite
42
Hit Rate
36%
Total Theses
116
Hits
42
Misses
68
Hit Rate
36%

Ticker Theses (43)

SIVE
39 mentions
+461
Latest thesis · longPASS

Retail frontran institutions on CPO/SiPh architectural shift; near-zero US institutional ownership in SIVE now seeing institutional inflows

AAOI
13 mentions
+157
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

CPO-related stocks like AAOI have strong alpha; thesis is that fundamental CPO demand supersedes macro headwinds

XFAB
10 mentions
+73
Latest thesis · longAVOID

XFAB building Silicon Photonics foundry as alternative to TSEM/GFS; European backing and NVDA supply chain relevance

SIVE.ST
10 mentions
+112
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longPASS

JP Morgan disclosed 5.25%+ ownership of Sivers, signaling major institutional accumulation. $135M is small for US institutions who could acquire 25%+. Float constraint limits buying.

NVDA
7 mentions
+93
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

NVDA driving 800V DC and CPO architectural shifts which are inevitable despite market skepticism; $5T company forcing industry transition

NBIS
6 mentions
+81
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

NBIS has clean financing structure vs IREN's $6B ATM dilution. NBIS is structurally superior as a neocloud with no toxic financing overhang.

AXTI
4 mentions
+39
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longPASS

Reuters report confirms China controls InP supply critical for AI data centers; AXTI is a key US-based InP supplier addressing this bottleneck

SOI
4 mentions
+34
Latest thesis · longPASS

NVDA Jensen Huang called out Silicon Photonics requiring supply volumes beyond imagination. Bullish read-through for SiPh supply chain - SIVE now upstream NVDA ecosystem, SOI also benefits.

MRVL
4 mentions
+51
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Recommending holding high-beta individual stocks like AAOI and MRVL over RDDT which has poor risk/reward. Directional long conviction on semis.

EWY
3 mentions
+39
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

EWY IV expansion trade from 32% to 58%; SK Hynix/Samsung concentration driving volatility; way ITM positions returned ~383%

RDDT
3 mentions
+33
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Bullish RDDT since $140. Inverse Cramer signal - Cramer was telling everyone to buy while she was already long.

AVGO
3 mentions
+42
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Glass substrate timeline clarifying: SKC Absolics first mover H2 2026 (with AMAT equipment), then Samsung H2 2027, then Apple/AVGO/hyperscalers. Multi-year capex theme with AMAT as equipment pick.

LPK
2 mentions
+12
Latest thesis · longWATCH

LPK discovered as direct SpaceX supplier via US import logs; ahead of SpaceX IPO, supply chain plays offer upside

IQE
2 mentions
+13
Latest thesis · longWATCH

European photonics/optical chokepoints rallying as sector momentum builds; LPKF CEO insider buying confirms conviction

AMD
2 mentions
+26
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Glass substrate timeline clarifying: SKC Absolics first mover H2 2026 (with AMAT equipment), then Samsung H2 2027, then Apple/AVGO/hyperscalers. Multi-year capex theme with AMAT as equipment pick.

JBL
2 mentions
+25
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

JBL compelling at $38B market cap. Markets haven't priced in their 1.6T LRO pluggable transceiver business. AI infrastructure demand driver.

688017.SS
2 mentions
+26
Latest thesis · longWATCH

LeaderDrive is China's standout component leader in robotics. Unique positioning vs lower-margin assembly competitors. High-value component exposure to humanoid robotics.

LITE
2 mentions
+25
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

LITE management at Mizuho confirmed CPO scale-up optical shipping in H2 2027, ramp 2028 - on schedule, no delays

EWG
1 mention
+14
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Iran war ending lifts oil fear discount; Europe/Taiwan/Korea equities were oversold on geopolitical risk

EWT
1 mention
+14
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Iran war ending lifts oil fear discount; Europe/Taiwan/Korea equities were oversold on geopolitical risk

FUTU
1 mention
-10
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · shortPASS

Chinese government targeting historical revenues of FUTU/TIGR; no legal recourse in China's rigged courts

TIGR
1 mention
-10
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · shortPASS

Chinese government targeting historical revenues of FUTU/TIGR; no legal recourse in China's rigged courts

ALRIB
1 mention
Latest thesis · longWATCH

European photonics/optical chokepoints rallying as sector momentum builds; LPKF CEO insider buying confirms conviction

RKLB
1 mention
+11
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

RKLB wins $90M Space Force contract; narrative momentum from US space buildup ahead of SpaceX IPO

ASX
1 mention
+13
Latest thesis · longWATCH

AMD $10B+ investment into Taiwan semiconductor ecosystem validates the supply chain; ASX, SANM, and Taiwan ODMs benefit

SANM
1 mention
+13
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

AMD $10B+ investment into Taiwan semiconductor ecosystem validates the supply chain; ASX, SANM, and Taiwan ODMs benefit

TSEM
1 mention
+12
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

NVDA Computex/GTC Taipei keynote catalyst for Taiwan optical ecosystem; TSEM and others likely to benefit

TE
1 mention
+12
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

TE shorts are dangerous; OpenAI has enough capital to acquire the entire company as a potential acquirer

TSM
1 mention
+14
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

TSM COUPE + AI optical market tailwinds. Institutional investors optimistic about Taiwanese supply chain for advanced packaging and photonics

AEVA
1 mention
+13
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Supply chain thesis: SIVE is upstream laser supplier to Boston Dynamics via Sivers -> AEVA (FMCW/CW DFB lasers) -> LG Innotek -> Boston Dynamics

HPS.A
1 mention
Latest thesis · long

Transformers demand visibility very high, solid backlog, high market share of dry-type transformers. Compounding story at 2M timeframe.

FLNC
1 mention
+12
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

NVDA/Siemens/FLNC develop reference power architectures for Vera Rubin N72, 2 likely hyperscaler deals coming up, up 36%

XFAB.PA
1 mention
+11
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Sub-$2B MC silicon photonics foundry validated by NVDA/NOK, CHIPS act grants subsidizing capex, leading in SiPh foundry

3171.TW
1 mention
Latest thesis · longAVOID

CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) Taiwan supply chain taking off. Shunsin, Foci, Xintec all +10% indicating sector momentum.

6425.TW
1 mention
Latest thesis · longAVOID

CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) Taiwan supply chain taking off. Shunsin, Foci, Xintec all +10% indicating sector momentum.

3324.TW
1 mention
Latest thesis · longAVOID

CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) Taiwan supply chain taking off. Shunsin, Foci, Xintec all +10% indicating sector momentum.

LPK.F
1 mention
+10
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longPASS

LPK awaiting volume orders, positioned as beneficiary of AEHR ecosystem growth. Holding conviction.

3374.TWO
1 mention
+11
Latest thesis · longWATCH

TSMC subsidiary; COUPE mass production ramp H2 2026; small cap $2.18B; photonics/CPO exposure via TSMC packaging

MU
1 mention
+16
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longBUY

NVDA CEO signals multi-year memory shortage from AI infra scaling. MU earnings/profit projections look conservative — upside bias to estimates.

AMAT
1 mention
+13
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Glass substrate timeline clarifying: SKC Absolics first mover H2 2026 (with AMAT equipment), then Samsung H2 2027, then Apple/AVGO/hyperscalers. Multi-year capex theme with AMAT as equipment pick.

WULF
1 mention
+12
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Anthropic pursuing first DC leases creates tailwind for neocloud/colo sector; WULF and CIFR positioned as beneficiaries

CIFR
1 mention
+12
Auto-removed
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Anthropic pursuing first DC leases creates tailwind for neocloud/colo sector; WULF and CIFR positioned as beneficiaries

SPCX
1 mention
+12
Latest thesis · longWATCH

Frankfurt Bank estimates massive overseas demand for SPCX shares could refinance 8% of US current-account deficit; unprecedented demand signal

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